Research on Domestic Transportation Simulation Technology



Research Term
April 2002 - March 2006

Outline
Solve various topics on domestic transportation system and develop general-purpose physical distribution simulator


Details
The coastal service in Japan is very important because its share in domestic distribution is about 40%.
But the industry has a lot of problems, for example, the deterioration of cooperates' financial soundness, difficulty of enough number of sailors and successors, and constant discount pressure by shipper companies.The industry needs structural and fundamental change because of the introduction of competition and deregulations by authority, wide-spread information technologies, progress of globalization, pressure of modal-shift, and so on.
To execute structural change smoothly and effectively it is essential to get the proper transportation policies and company consulting based on accurate forecast and estimation.

But the industry together with its environment is now changing its structure rapidly.
‚‰t is difficult to fulfill enough accurate analysis by conventional econometrics approach, that has been mainly used in this field, because it assumes that its target system is constant and it depends on past data.
We think that transportation simulation is one of the most effective approaches to cope with the difficulty.

But the physical distribution analysis by transportation simulation is not popular and not systematically executed . It often happens that researchers program single purpose simulator for each subject.
To secure enough research efficiency and accuracy and to answer precisely and swiftly to client requests it is necessary to develop simulation system that is applicable for huge and complex target and has enough diversity and extensity.

This research aims at developing such general-purpose transportation simulation system through expanding gradually from simple simulator to complex one that copes with major domestic marine transportation articles and that can solves some of the following topics.

Topics for transportation simulation
Analysis of change of physical distribution demand
Decrease in amount of distribution of industrial basic materials
Estimation of efficiency improvement and rationalization of transport
The alliance of the shipper enterprise
Optimization of middle-depot by unification
Reorganization, consolidation of contract ship companies
Infrastructure investment
Deregulation
Ship company's making e-business
Estimation of environmental preservation system
Enlargement of transportation system
Modal shift of transportation system
Expansion of international competitiveness
National transportation plan
Integrated plan of various transport rationalizations




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